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States across the country are engaged in
what's essentially an arms race to
redraw their congressional maps before
any votes are cast in an attempt to take
control of Congress ahead of the
midterms. Now, this started over the
summer with Texas when at the behest of
President Trump, they redrew their
congressional maps to create five
Republican seats that hadn't existed
before then. Since then, this has
exploded to pretty much more than a
third of the country. It's everywhere
from New York to Virginia, North
Carolina and Florida, California and
Utah. There's about 20 states that are
getting pulled into this and it's all in
various stages with the White House and
President Trump pushing onward and
seeing this as one of their key
strategies. It's important to remember
that this is not normal. Redistricting
often happens at the end of a decade
following the US Census. Rarely are they
ever drawn in the middle of a decade or
the middle of a midterm cycle. And it's
especially rare for it to happen in so
many states at one time. So looking at
the calculus of all this, currently
there's just a handful of seats that are
giving Republicans the edge in the House
of Representatives and Speaker Johnson
his gavl in redistricting. Republicans
have locked in safe seats in Texas,
Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio.
They've started the process of adding
new seats in Indiana. Now, they've
discussed it and put pressure on some
lawmakers in three more states, Florida,
Kansas, Nebraska. Now, that push has
caused Democrats to fight back, and
we've seen it with varying degrees.
Democrats haven't locked in anything
yet, but they're very close in a few
states. In California, they're likely to
add five new seats. In Virginia, they're
likely to add as many as two to three.
and litigation might add a new seat in
New York. They've also discussed
redistricting in two other states,
Illinois and Maryland. That could add
another two seats. While Democrats have
found some new opportunities, they're
certainly still outgunned by
Republicans. So, it's more likely than
not that when this is all said and done,
Republicans will have given themselves a
pretty significant advantage. Now, how
significant of an advantage that is
remains to be seen.
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