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THE U.S. IS UP 35%. MP UP 22%, U.S. WEARERS OF 22

MP UP 22%, U.S. WEARERS OF 22 AND A QUARTER PERCENT.

AND A QUARTER PERCENT. HOWEVER, LAST NIGHT THE

HOWEVER, LAST NIGHT THE PRESIDENT MADE CONCILIATORY

PRESIDENT MADE CONCILIATORY COMMENTS ABOUT CHINESE LEADER XI

COMMENTS ABOUT CHINESE LEADER XI JINPING AND THE RESURRECTION OF

JINPING AND THE RESURRECTION OF THE TRADE WAR SAYING IT WILL ALL

THE TRADE WAR SAYING IT WILL ALL BE FINE, THE BULLS LIKE ALL OF

BE FINE, THE BULLS LIKE ALL OF IT AND THINK IT IS FINE, LET’S

IT AND THINK IT IS FINE, LET’S GET TO THE FLOOR SHOW CITIGROUP

GET TO THE FLOOR SHOW CITIGROUP GLOBAL CHIEF ECONOMIST.

GLOBAL CHIEF ECONOMIST. ARE YOU FINE WITH ALL OF THIS?

ARE YOU FINE WITH ALL OF THIS? >> THERE IS DEFINITELY A LOT OF

>> THERE IS DEFINITELY A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY OUT THERE IN THE

UNCERTAINTY OUT THERE IN THE REALITY IS THAT CHINA IS THE

REALITY IS THAT CHINA IS THE WORLD’S SECOND-LARGEST NATIONAL

WORLD’S SECOND-LARGEST NATIONAL ECONOMY IN THE U.S. IS DEPENDENT

ECONOMY IN THE U.S. IS DEPENDENT ON CHINA FOR THE KEY IMPORTS

ON CHINA FOR THE KEY IMPORTS INCLUDING RARE-EARTH MINERALS.

INCLUDING RARE-EARTH MINERALS. WHEN WE GET TO THIS PLACE WHERE

WHEN WE GET TO THIS PLACE WHERE IT LOOKS LIKE THE TRADE WAR

IT LOOKS LIKE THE TRADE WAR BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES IS

BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES IS GOING TO ESCALATE THAT IS

GOING TO ESCALATE THAT IS SOMETHING THAT CAPTURES THE

SOMETHING THAT CAPTURES THE MARKETS ATTENTION.

MARKETS ATTENTION. I THINK WE ARE REMINDED TODAY

I THINK WE ARE REMINDED TODAY THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP IS AWARE OF

THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP IS AWARE OF THAT AND HAS SIGNALED IN THE

THAT AND HAS SIGNALED IN THE PAST THAT NEGOTIATIONS ARE

PAST THAT NEGOTIATIONS ARE LIKELY FROM THE MARKET IS

LIKELY FROM THE MARKET IS LEANING AND THE DIRECTION STILL

LEANING AND THE DIRECTION STILL UNCOMFORTABLE BUT MEDIATED A

UNCOMFORTABLE BUT MEDIATED A HOPEFUL DIRECTION THAT ON FRIDAY

HOPEFUL DIRECTION THAT ON FRIDAY FRIDAY.

FRIDAY. LIZ: WE SHOW THE CHINESE STOCKS

LIZ: WE SHOW THE CHINESE STOCKS THAT ARE RURAL AND HIGHER EXAM

THAT ARE RURAL AND HIGHER EXAM WITH THE TRADE RELATED STOCKS,

WITH THE TRADE RELATED STOCKS, ANYTHING TECHNOLOGY.

ANYTHING TECHNOLOGY. WHEN YOU LOOK LISTEN TO WHAT

WHEN YOU LOOK LISTEN TO WHAT CHINA SAID AFTER WHAT PRESIDENT

CHINA SAID AFTER WHAT PRESIDENT TRUMP THREATENED THE ONE 100%

TRUMP THREATENED THE ONE 100% TARIFFS OVER THE WEEKEND ON ALL

TARIFFS OVER THE WEEKEND ON ALL THINGS CHINESE COMING INTO THE

THINGS CHINESE COMING INTO THE U.S. CHINA BASICALLY SAID BRING

U.S. CHINA BASICALLY SAID BRING IT ON WE DON’T NEED YOUR

IT ON WE DON’T NEED YOUR SOYBEANS WE ARE FULLY STOCKED

SOYBEANS WE ARE FULLY STOCKED WITH SOYBEANS FROM OTHER

WITH SOYBEANS FROM OTHER COUNTRIES, WE CHANGED OUR SUPPLY

COUNTRIES, WE CHANGED OUR SUPPLY CHANGE JUST LIKE THE U.S. HAS

CHANGE JUST LIKE THE U.S. HAS CERTAINLY CHANGED ITS SUPPLY

CERTAINLY CHANGED ITS SUPPLY CHAINS, UCD THREATS TO THE

CHAINS, UCD THREATS TO THE ECONOMY AND THE MARKETS AHEAD ON

ECONOMY AND THE MARKETS AHEAD ON THIS?

THIS? >> WHAT IS CERTAINLY TRUE, CHINA

>> WHAT IS CERTAINLY TRUE, CHINA IS REWIRING BOTH THE EXPORTS AND

IS REWIRING BOTH THE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS TO REDUCE THE DEPENDENCE

IMPORTS TO REDUCE THE DEPENDENCE ON THE UNITED STATES.

ON THE UNITED STATES. I THINK IN PARALLEL, AS YOU KNOW

I THINK IN PARALLEL, AS YOU KNOW THE UNITED STATES IS DOING THE

THE UNITED STATES IS DOING THE SAME THING.

SAME THING. I THINK IF I PROJECT THIS THING

I THINK IF I PROJECT THIS THING OUT OVER A 5 - TENURE HORIZON

OUT OVER A 5 - TENURE HORIZON CAN I IMAGINE A WORLD WHERE THE

CAN I IMAGINE A WORLD WHERE THE UNITED STATES AND CHINA ARE

UNITED STATES AND CHINA ARE FULLY DECOUPLED.

FULLY DECOUPLED. I THINK THAT IS PROBABLY A

I THINK THAT IS PROBABLY A DIRECTION THAT WERE MOVING INTO.

DIRECTION THAT WERE MOVING INTO. FOR NOW THEY STILL NEED US AND

FOR NOW THEY STILL NEED US AND WE STILL NEED THEM.

WE STILL NEED THEM. LIZ: USING CONFIT ABOUT THE U.S.

LIZ: USING CONFIT ABOUT THE U.S. ECONOMY.

ECONOMY. HOWEVER, WERE WAITING ON DATA

HOWEVER, WERE WAITING ON DATA AND SOME OF THAT GOVERNMENT

AND SOME OF THAT GOVERNMENT DRIVEN SO WERE NOT GETTING GET

DRIVEN SO WERE NOT GETTING GET IT BECAUSE WERE IN DAY 13 OF THE

IT BECAUSE WERE IN DAY 13 OF THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN AND WE CAN

GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN AND WE CAN LOOK AT THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR

LOOK AT THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR AND SEE WHAT WE WILL BE GETTING

AND SEE WHAT WE WILL BE GETTING THIS MONTH, THAT WOULD BE

THIS MONTH, THAT WOULD BE SEPTEMBER RETAIL SALES, WE WILL

SEPTEMBER RETAIL SALES, WE WILL NOT BE GETTING FOR A WEEK OR TWO

NOT BE GETTING FOR A WEEK OR TWO BECAUSE APPARENTLY THE

BECAUSE APPARENTLY THE GOVERNMENT IS SAYING WE HAVE TO

GOVERNMENT IS SAYING WE HAVE TO GET THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX,

GET THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, THAT’S INFLATION NUMBER SO MAYBE

THAT’S INFLATION NUMBER SO MAYBE THAT WILL, THE 24th, NO

THAT WILL, THE 24th, NO JOBLESS CLAIMS ON THURSDAY

JOBLESS CLAIMS ON THURSDAY CERTAINLY, THERE ARE SOME THINGS

CERTAINLY, THERE ARE SOME THINGS THAT WE WILL GET BECAUSE IT DONE

THAT WE WILL GET BECAUSE IT DONE INDEPENDENTLY WERE BRINGING THE

INDEPENDENTLY WERE BRINGING THE EMPIRE INDEX, NEW YORK FEDERAL

EMPIRE INDEX, NEW YORK FEDERAL RESERVE OF REGIONAL AND HOUSING

RESERVE OF REGIONAL AND HOUSING MARKET STUFF, ET CETERA, HOW ARE

MARKET STUFF, ET CETERA, HOW ARE YOU AT CITY WITH YOUR SUPPLY

YOU AT CITY WITH YOUR SUPPLY CHAIN OF DATA NOW THAT YOU CAN’T

CHAIN OF DATA NOW THAT YOU CAN’T GET IT FROM THE GOVERNMENT.

GET IT FROM THE GOVERNMENT. >> WE CRITICALLY MISS THE

>> WE CRITICALLY MISS THE GOVERNMENT DATA AND OUR CAPACITY

GOVERNMENT DATA AND OUR CAPACITY TO BE ABLE TO EVALUATE AND

TO BE ABLE TO EVALUATE AND CANDIDLY THE MARKETS CAPACITY TO

CANDIDLY THE MARKETS CAPACITY TO EVALUATE WHERE THE ECONOMY IS

EVALUATE WHERE THE ECONOMY IS AND REDUCED ONE POINT WHICH IS

AND REDUCED ONE POINT WHICH IS VERY IMPORTANT IT INCREASES THE

VERY IMPORTANT IT INCREASES THE EMPHASIS ON THE THIRD-QUARTER

EMPHASIS ON THE THIRD-QUARTER EARNINGS REPORTS THAT ARE

EARNINGS REPORTS THAT ARE STARTING THIS WEEK.

STARTING THIS WEEK. LIZ: TOMORROW.

LIZ: TOMORROW. I’M GET A BE LISTENING WHAT DO

I’M GET A BE LISTENING WHAT DO RETAILERS HAVE TO SAY ABOUT

RETAILERS HAVE TO SAY ABOUT MARGIN PRESSURES ABOUT PASTOR OF

MARGIN PRESSURES ABOUT PASTOR OF TARIFFS, WHAT ARE THE A.I. FIRMS

TARIFFS, WHAT ARE THE A.I. FIRMS TELLING US ABOUT ONGOING A.I.

TELLING US ABOUT ONGOING A.I. INVESTMENT.

INVESTMENT. >> THE BOND MARKET IS CLOSE AS

>> THE BOND MARKET IS CLOSE AS IT HIT A THREE WEEK LOW AT 4.138

IT HIT A THREE WEEK LOW AT 4.138 AT THE CLOSE ON FRIDAY, IT’S A

AT THE CLOSE ON FRIDAY, IT’S A LITTLE BIT LOWER THAN THAT 4.08

LITTLE BIT LOWER THAN THAT 4.08 TO EARNINGS I’M SURE YOU’LL BE

TO EARNINGS I’M SURE YOU’LL BE WATCHING BECAUSE CITIGROUP IS

WATCHING BECAUSE CITIGROUP IS REPORTING WITH A BUNCH OF THE

REPORTING WITH A BUNCH OF THE BIG BANKS YOU HAVE J.P. MORGAN,

BIG BANKS YOU HAVE J.P. MORGAN, WELLS FARGO, GOLDMAN SACHS,

WELLS FARGO, GOLDMAN SACHS, BLACKROCK, BANK OF AMERICA ON

BLACKROCK, BANK OF AMERICA ON WEDNESDAY, MORGAN STANLEY, PNC,

WEDNESDAY, MORGAN STANLEY, PNC, BIG NAMES AND FINANCIALS, HOW DO

BIG NAMES AND FINANCIALS, HOW DO THEY LOOK.

THEY LOOK. >> I GOTTA BE CAREFUL NOT TO, ON

>> I GOTTA BE CAREFUL NOT TO, ON SPECIFIC NAMES AND BROADLY THE

SPECIFIC NAMES AND BROADLY THE FINANCIAL SECTOR IN THE MARKET

FINANCIAL SECTOR IN THE MARKET ARE CONTINUING TO LOOK SOLID.

ARE CONTINUING TO LOOK SOLID. I THINK IN THIS ENVIRONMENT WITH

I THINK IN THIS ENVIRONMENT WITH A STRONG CONSUMER THE FINANCIAL

A STRONG CONSUMER THE FINANCIAL SECTOR IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO

SECTOR IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO LOOK STRONG.

LOOK STRONG. >> THE EPS EXPECTATION FOR THE

>> THE EPS EXPECTATION FOR THE NAMES IN THE S&P ARE UP 12.6%

NAMES IN THE S&P ARE UP 12.6% YEAR-OVER-YEAR OVERALL REVENUE

YEAR-OVER-YEAR OVERALL REVENUE IS UP 3.4%, THE S&P IS EXPECTED

IS UP 3.4%, THE S&P IS EXPECTED ALL 500 COMPANIES UP 8%

ALL 500 COMPANIES UP 8% YEAR-OVER-YEAR I WILL TAKE IT.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR I WILL TAKE IT. >> THIS IS THE KIWI DEBATE OUR

>> THIS IS THE KIWI DEBATE OUR STOCKS OVERVALUED AT THE END OF

STOCKS OVERVALUED AT THE END OF THE DAY MAYBE BUT YOU GOTTA LIKE

THE DAY MAYBE BUT YOU GOTTA LIKE EARNINGS TRAJECTORY.

EARNINGS TRAJECTORY. THESE EVALUATIONS FOR THE STRONG

THESE EVALUATIONS FOR THE STRONG EARNINGS.

EARNINGS. YOU ALSO HAVE J.P. MORGAN

YOU ALSO HAVE J.P. MORGAN ANNOUNCING IT WILL SPEND

ANNOUNCING IT WILL SPEND $1.5 TRILLION OVER THE NEXT TEN

$1.5 TRILLION OVER THE NEXT TEN YEARS ON ALL THINGS RELATED TO

YEARS ON ALL THINGS RELATED TO NATIONAL SECURITY US-BASED

NATIONAL SECURITY US-BASED ENERGY ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE,

ENERGY ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, ASIDE FROM ALL OF THAT SOME OF

ASIDE FROM ALL OF THAT SOME OF THE TECHNOLOGICAL NAMES THAT ARE

THE TECHNOLOGICAL NAMES THAT ARE OUTSIDE OF A.I.

OUTSIDE OF A.I. >> ONE OF THE HUGE TAKEAWAYS

>> ONE OF THE HUGE TAKEAWAYS FROM THE PANDEMIC IS ECONOMIC

FROM THE PANDEMIC IS ECONOMIC POLICYMAKERS IN THE CORPORATE

POLICYMAKERS IN THE CORPORATE SECTOR IT NEEDS TO FOCUS MORE ON

SECTOR IT NEEDS TO FOCUS MORE ON ESSENTIAL SECURITY WHICH IS

ESSENTIAL SECURITY WHICH IS NATIONAL SECURITY BUT EVEN

NATIONAL SECURITY BUT EVEN BROADER.

BROADER. WHAT WE NEED TO BE A MORE

WHAT WE NEED TO BE A MORE RESILIENT ECONOMY DURING TIMES

RESILIENT ECONOMY DURING TIMES OF STRESS.

OF STRESS. THAT’S GOOD TO BE A RICH FIELD

THAT’S GOOD TO BE A RICH FIELD FOR INVESTMENT DURING THE COMING

FOR INVESTMENT DURING THE COMING DECADE.

DECADE. LIZ: GOLD IS SURGING TO A RECORD

LIZ: GOLD IS SURGING TO A RECORD HIGH IS THAT A WEIRD SIGNAL IN

HIGH IS THAT A WEIRD SIGNAL IN SOME WAY SHAPE OR FORM.

SOME WAY SHAPE OR FORM. >> IT MY BE A CAUTIONARY NOTE

>> IT MY BE A CAUTIONARY NOTE WINDOWS GOLD RISE, RISES ON TWO

WINDOWS GOLD RISE, RISES ON TWO KINDS OF CIRCUMSTANCES.

KINDS OF CIRCUMSTANCES. ONE WHEN THERE IS CONCERN ABOUT

ONE WHEN THERE IS CONCERN ABOUT INFLATION WHICH DOES NOT SEEM TO

INFLATION WHICH DOES NOT SEEM TO BE FRONT AND CENTER BUT SOME

BE FRONT AND CENTER BUT SOME SCENARIOS FOR THE U.S. ECONOMY

SCENARIOS FOR THE U.S. ECONOMY WHERE INFLATION COULD RISE THE

WHERE INFLATION COULD RISE THE SECOND DURING PERIODS OF

SECOND DURING PERIODS OF INSURGENCY THAT IS THE OTHER

INSURGENCY THAT IS THE OTHER SIDE OF THIS THERE’S STILL A LOT

SIDE OF THIS THERE’S STILL A LOT OF?

OF? ABOUT WHERE WERE HEADED AND WHAT

ABOUT WHERE WERE HEADED AND WHAT POLICY IS GET A LOOK LIKE AND

POLICY IS GET A LOOK LIKE AND WHETHER THE ECONOMY PROVES

WHETHER THE ECONOMY PROVES DURABLE, I’M OPTIMISTIC BUT I

DURABLE, I’M OPTIMISTIC BUT I THINK THERE IS AN ONGOING DEBATE

THINK THERE IS AN ONGOING DEBATE DEBATE.

DEBATE. WE HAVE PETER SHIFT THE BIG GOLD

WE HAVE PETER SHIFT THE BIG GOLD BUG, YOU KNOW HIM HE HAS A

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