[English]
Alright, so --
Get a degree, get a job,
build your future.
No matter where you're from,
it's like page one
of the universal parenting handbook.
And if you grew up
with parents anything like mine,
you knew it was one of those,
you know, just casual,
non-negotiable suggestions
that they had for you.
(Laughter)
But no matter what our parents might say,
it's a path that for so many,
just doesn't hold up.
Not here in Kenya, not across the world.
Every month, more than a million
young people enter the workforce
across Sub-Saharan Africa.
Fewer than one in four
will get access to a formal job.
And at first glance,
it looks a lot like a crisis, right?
Like this jobless generation.
Honestly, I used to see it that way too.
I'm a third generation East African.
I've always believed in the power
of business and technology
to fuel development.
For the longest time,
I thought that meant one thing:
helping to create formal jobs.
But after more than a decade of working
with young people here in Kenya,
I started to see something
very different, right?
People like Kelvin running his cyber cafe.
Or Melissa, with her hair salon.
Or Mercy, with her auto repair shop.
And the thing is, they are not outliers.
They are part of this powerful engine.
Millions of young people contributing
over 540 million dollars a month
into Kenya's economy.
The informal economy is an engine
that is already turning.
It’s how 85 percent of people
across Sub-Saharan Africa
and 60 percent of the global
workforce earn an income.
So a few years ago,
a couple of colleagues and I
decided to take a step back,
ask ourselves a different question,
not, how do we pull people out
of the informal economy,
but what if we invested in it
and helped it grow
more efficiently and at scale.
And that’s what led us
to build MESH in 2021.
It's this platform to help
this hustle economy grow.
It's a professional
social network where today,
more than 800,000 micro entrepreneurs
come to connect and learn and trade
and access a marketplace
of opportunities each month.
And the thing is, as we built MESH,
we started to see these patterns
and behaviors start to emerge
that often challenged some
of our long-held assumptions,
but also revealed some of the levers
that really drive growth
in the informal economy.
And so I wanted to take this opportunity
to share three of our big lessons
with you today,
because if we're serious
about building a sustainable future,
we can't ignore the billions
navigating the informal sector.
So our first, and honestly,
possibly coolest,
lesson that we've learned
is that the most powerful lever
for income growth in the informal economy
is identity.
See, young people have been told
an incredibly unhelpful story
for most of their life:
That success means getting a formal job.
And when that path doesn't open up,
it can be paralyzing.
But when identity shifts, behavior shifts.
So when they stop seeing
themselves as unemployed or jobless
and actually as entrepreneurs,
things change and pretty quickly.
So, take Brian.
Brian studied to be a teacher,
but he spent years bouncing between gigs,
and he will be the first to tell you
he never saw himself
as someone who could run a business.
One day he was chatting with a connection
he made on the platform,
a woman named Eunice.
At some point she said,
"Honestly, Brian, just why not business?"
Something eventually just clicked for him.
He said,
"I started admiring her business.
I thought maybe I could do that too."
And so he did.
He started small,
selling fruit, then donuts,
then he moved into charcoal.
Today, Brian is running
three small businesses
and he's saving up
for his own permanent stall.
And Brian wasn't alone.
When we started
measuring this more closely,
we were blown away
by just how powerful this shift
in identity could actually be.
Seventy-eight percent of our
MESH members were telling us
that they had either started
a brand new business,
or improved by adding to an existing one,
often within just a couple of months
of signing up for the platform.
And amongst that group,
the number earning more than national
minimum wage more than doubled.
So when I see myself differently,
I act differently.
And when that happens amongst our peers,
that change can often be contagious.
So our second big lesson
was really about the importance
of designing for the real world.
And the best example of that that I have
is how we approach skills development.
So most programs aimed
at the informal economy
assume that growth
looks a lot like a ladder, right?
You, you know, study hard,
get a certificate,
use that to get the job,
to build credentials,
to move up step by step.
And so the learning systems
are all designed to match this, right?
You know, longer courses,
modules, quizzes,
formal learning pathways.
That's how we approached it too.
The problem is, that's not how growth
really happens in the informal economy.
Growth here is often entirely non-linear.
It's characterized
by rapidly shifting needs
or new opportunities
that you need to jump on.
It looks a lot less like a ladder,
and it looks a lot more like a jungle gym.
My favorite example of this is Caroline.
Caroline graduated with a degree
in analytical chemistry,
but she could not find a job.
She started a business selling clothes,
saved up some money,
and fashion wasn't her thing.
But she spotted a new opportunity
that she really loved, hair.
And so she invested
in a one-month wig making class
and she just ran with it.
She built a business.
She picked up pricing tips
from other MESHers.
She learned digital marketing skills
to build and grow her online sales.
When she needed to,
she picked up basic bookkeeping
to help her manage her cash flow.
Today, Caroline's
a full-time entrepreneur,
but she didn't climb a ladder.
She moved across this jungle gym,
one business and one pivot at a time.
And all along the way,
she invested in the skills she needed
to keep her growing.
And we saw this happening
all across the platform.
Young people were not engaging
with our formal learning tools,
but their incomes were growing.
So 66 percent of our MESHers tell us
that they have learned a new skill,
which has improved
their business on the platform,
but not from a course,
often from a peer.
Another micro entrepreneur,
just two steps ahead,
just sharing what they'd figured out.
And the learning itself,
it's so practical, it's so immediate.
It's like a 90-second video
on how to price your sandals,
or a group chat on how
to save water in your agribusiness.
One of our favorites, "Why bad loans
are a lot like bad boyfriends
and how to spot the red flags."
(Laughter)
It is learning that just
mirrors real life.
So our third lesson is a pretty
fundamental one.
It's about trust.
In the informal economy,
there are no contracts
or insurance policies
or formal protections.
If a deal goes wrong, it's on you.
Take Alfine.
Alfine trained to be a photographer.
She saved up painstakingly
to get her first camera.
And one day a client reached out.
They paid a deposit, it seemed legitimate.
She showed up for the shoot,
and within minutes, her gear was stolen.
It set her back, she was set up,
and she had to start all over again.
And this is why a lot
of micro entrepreneurs,
they choose to play it safe.
They stick to trusted circles.
And when we asked our MESH members,
"How do you know
who you can actually trust?"
The word that we hear
most often is "serious."
"I look for serious people."
"I knew he was a serious guy."
It's shorthand, right?
For someone reliable,
for someone who shows up.
But we wanted to understand
that a little bit better.
So we ran an experiment.
It was really simple.
We brought 30 micro
entrepreneurs into a room.
No profiles, no CVs.
Everyone got a blank poster and a marker
just to describe who they were
in their own words.
And then everyone got five post-it notes
to put on the profiles of the individuals
that they would most like to work with,
and to tell us why.
And consistently,
the most sought-after profiles
weren't the ones
with the highest education
or the most established businesses.
They were the ones who wrote
about helping others,
mentoring peers,
supporting their communities,
the ones with social capital.
Because in the informal sector,
trust and reliability
aren't about what you have,
they're about what you
contribute, seriously.
And that kind of social capital
is what makes the informal
sector function, right?
It's how you know who you can work with,
lend to, buy from.
The problem is,
it isn't really bankable
beyond your immediate circle,
and unfortunately,
least of all at the bank itself.
But that is a massive opportunity.
Because when young people
are able to build visible,
trusted identities online
that showcase all the ways
that they show up,
it unlocks a whole new world
of peer-to-peer trade.
And a massive opportunity
for the formal world, right?
So for lenders, for corporates,
for organizations that are looking
to assess trustworthiness,
if we lean into these models,
all of a sudden we can begin
to lend with more confidence,
or find talent,
or offer gigs in ways that just
have not been possible before.
So in the informal economy,
what we're seeing is that this
is absolutely working, right?
Today, when we do surveys,
markets are expanding on MESH.
Forty-nine percent of our audience
are telling us that they have now
begun to work with
and earn from other MESH members
on the platform.
And what we're seeing
isn't just a way to facilitate trade
or establish trust in the informal sector.
It's a glimpse into how
more resilient economies could work.
Because when we think about a world
facing climate constraints
or rising inequalities,
economies that reward
this type of contribution,
rather than just consumption
might be one of the most
sustainable shifts
that we can actually make.
Look, honestly, we've learned
a ton over the last five years.
The most important lesson is this.
The informal economy
is not a problem to be solved.
It is this phenomenally
powerful engine to be supported.
And I'm not saying jobs don't matter.
Of course they do, right?
But the road to those jobs
and to broader economic growth
might just run through
the informal economy first.
And what we’re seeing goes beyond MESH.
So from digital lenders
experimenting with social
and behavioral data,
to renewable-energy companies
leveraging community distribution models
to expand their reach and sales.
When we design for the informal economy,
we unlock massive new possibilities.
And whether that is growing new markets
or expanding livelihoods,
or even accelerating climate action,
this generation and the economy
that they power are central to all of it.
So the solutions that we build
have to work for them here and now.
And so the real opportunity here
isn't to fix the informal economy.
It's to fuel it.
Thank you.
(Applause)