This is the Cola Bay, a small stretch of
00:00
water at the center of a global race to
00:03
dominate the Arctic. From here, Russia
00:05
could mine the Arctic for oil, gas, and
00:08
minerals, export those resources, and
00:10
launch a nuclear weapon at anyone who
00:13
threatens its ambitions. This is where
00:15
Russia is storing part of the world's
00:17
largest icebreaker fleet designed to
00:19
plow its way through melting Arctic ice.
00:21
About 5 mi away is the Arctic's largest
00:24
shipping port, which could one day
00:26
export the resources Russia wants to
00:28
mine from the seabed. And 20 m north is
00:30
a naval base storing some of Russia's
00:32
most powerful nuclear submarines.
00:34
The Arctic is becoming very fast one of
00:36
the most interesting places on the
00:38
planet. Because of receding ice, there
00:39
are more resources that people are
00:41
eyeing to compete over, and there's a
00:43
number of countries that are looking at
00:45
uh exploiting them. This is why the Cola
00:48
Bay sits at the heart of Russia's fight
00:50
for the Arctic.
00:52
I went there in 2021. It's a beautiful
00:54
area, kind of rolling hills leading into
00:57
the Cola Bay, but more than that, it's a
00:59
very closed area. There's a lot of
01:01
military installations, a lot of places
01:03
that you can't go.
01:05
The Arctic is a sort of microcosm of
01:06
geopolitical tensions.
01:08
It's not as remote as it appears on the
01:10
map. The assumption is that the
01:13
potential for a conflict in the Arctic
01:16
is likely to happen first outside the
01:18
region and spill over to the region
01:20
rather than we will see a clash of
01:22
different countries in in the Arctic.
01:24
Russia's Arctic coastline stretches
01:26
nearly 15,000 m along the Arctic Ocean.
01:28
The Cola Bay sits in the northwest,
01:31
giving it strategic access to the Arctic
01:34
and North Atlantic oceans and
01:36
neighboring NATO countries. We've seen
01:38
this slow incremental militarization of
01:40
the Arctic. Russia wants to get to a
01:43
point where if it feels threatened in
01:45
its high north, it can react militarily.
01:47
Obviously, that creates a whole bunch of
01:50
new scenarios both for Moscow and for
01:52
the NATO neighbors that are right next
01:54
door.
01:56
The Northern Fleet is Russia's Arctic
01:56
Navy division, including some of the
01:59
most powerful weapons in its nuclear
02:01
triad.
02:03
One of the biggest arms of that nuclear
02:03
triad sits right in the Cola Bay. Russia
02:05
stores some of its nuclearpowered
02:08
submarines here, which can be used to
02:10
patrol icy waters and carry nuclear
02:12
missiles.
02:14
The northern fleet is basically
02:15
comprised of a lot of strategic
02:17
submarines that carry nuclear missiles.
02:19
This is basically their second strike
02:22
capacity.
02:23
That's essentially Russia's ability to
02:24
strike back if it was hit first by a
02:26
land-based nuclear attack. Because its
02:28
submarines are powered by nuclear
02:31
energy, they can carry out missions for
02:32
months at a time. If you're looking at a
02:34
Russian nuclearpowered sub, it could
02:37
probably stay out at sea indefinitely.
02:39
And the Arctic ice actually plays a key
02:41
role in Russia's nuclear deterrent
02:44
strategy since its submarines can hide
02:45
under the ice before attacking.
02:47
A lot of Russia's military thinking in
02:49
this area comes down to what is called a
02:52
bastion concept. So creating a fortress
02:55
right above the Cola Bay. And it uses
02:57
air defense, it uses various types of
02:59
submarines, it uses jet fighters as
03:02
well. And so what they're doing is
03:03
really kind of building out this very
03:05
integrated system of defenses to make
03:06
sure that their nuclear capable
03:09
submarines really stay protected.
03:10
Core to that strategy are Russia's ultra
03:12
powerful nuclear icebreaker ships, many
03:15
of which are stored here, giving them
03:17
easy access to the Arctic Ocean.
03:19
What they can do is with those ice
03:21
breakers practically travel almost
03:23
anywhere they want to. They can be
03:25
deployed at different times of the year,
03:26
breaking different grades of ice,
03:28
thickness of ice, and types of ice. For
03:30
comparison, Russia has around 40 ice
03:32
breakers at its disposal, while the US
03:35
has just three. Some icebreaker ships
03:37
are used by researchers to explore the
03:39
minerals beneath the melting sea ice,
03:41
and others are fitted out with weaponry
03:43
like cannons, guns, and missiles.
03:46
In the past, Ukraine was very important
03:48
in providing various parts for Russia's
03:49
ice breakers. Since the war started,
03:52
that no longer happens. In fact, one of
03:53
the plants that was building a motor for
03:55
a Russian icebreaker came under attack
03:58
by the Russians. So that kind of ended
04:00
those plans very quickly.
04:02
These ice breakers also need to sail in
04:03
front of any cargo ships passing through
04:06
the northern sea route. This trade route
04:07
between Asia and Europe is shorter than
04:10
going through the Suez Canal and it's
04:12
been opening up more in recent years
04:14
thanks to melting sea ice. When we look
04:15
at the Arctic and the infrastructure
04:18
there, it's very scarce. We have to
04:20
think dual use. One of the Russian major
04:21
objectives is to develop the northern
04:24
zero as this international maritime link
04:27
between you Asia, Europe and and
04:29
Northern America. But this will also
04:33
have military strategic importance.
04:35
Russia's port of Mormons is the largest
04:37
commercial port along the route and it's
04:39
one of the only deep water ports in the
04:42
Arctic that doesn't freeze over for
04:43
parts of the year. You need a deep sea
04:45
water port to really handle some of
04:47
these very big loads, especially when
04:49
we're talking about the kind of
04:50
resources that Russia wants to export.
04:51
While the US and EU have sanctioned
04:54
Russian coal, oil, and gas, Russia
04:56
recently opened a new port to serve a
04:58
different trading partner, its Asian
05:00
export markets.
05:02
They can take their coal from inside
05:03
Russia up to the shores of the Cola Bay
05:05
and then basically send them eastward to
05:08
China.
05:10
China wants to become more of an Arctic
05:11
player. So Russia is balancing keeping
05:13
its trading partner happy while not
05:15
allowing it too much control which
05:17
is really interesting. There has been
05:19
this cooperation growing between Russia
05:20
and China in the Arctic. Russia was
05:23
willing to put the Arctic card on the
05:25
table. For instance, when Ciin Ping was
05:27
visiting Moscow and say that they are
05:30
open to joint management of the northern
05:32
Syria, this is a big change.
05:34
So what does this all mean for the rest
05:36
of the world? Depends on who you ask. If
05:38
we're looking at NATO countries, I think
05:41
we're looking at a bunch of different
05:42
visions of how it should play out. I
05:44
think, you know, the United States has
05:46
expressed grand ambitions to buy
05:48
Greenland, for example.
05:50
Other NATO countries who have relied on
05:52
US military support are building up
05:53
their own military capabilities.
05:56
The Cola Bay, I think, really represents
05:58
Russia's ability to defend its Arctic
06:00
interests. It has all of the weapons
06:03
systems and capabilities that it needs
06:06
to make sure that it can control parts
06:08
of the Arctic that it considers to be
06:10
most important for itself.
06:12
On the trade front, Canada has said it
06:13
wants to build infrastructure along its
06:15
own Arctic trade route, the Northwest
06:17
Passage, but it's still years away from
06:19
becoming a reality. I was talking to the
06:21
CEO of a very large American arms
06:23
company the other day and he was saying
06:26
that the Arctic is always a place of
06:28
great potential, but it really depends
06:30
on whether or not the US follows through
06:32
on its plans or allows Russia to
06:34
continue to take the lead.
06:36
As the race for the Arctic heats up,
06:38
what's happening here in the Cola Bay is
06:40
setting the pace.
06:43
[Music]
06:46
Lyrics & Translation
[English]
This is the Cola Bay, a small stretch of
water at the center of a global race to
dominate the Arctic. From here, Russia
could mine the Arctic for oil, gas, and
minerals, export those resources, and
launch a nuclear weapon at anyone who
threatens its ambitions. This is where
Russia is storing part of the world's
largest icebreaker fleet designed to
plow its way through melting Arctic ice.
About 5 mi away is the Arctic's largest
shipping port, which could one day
export the resources Russia wants to
mine from the seabed. And 20 m north is
a naval base storing some of Russia's
most powerful nuclear submarines.
The Arctic is becoming very fast one of
the most interesting places on the
planet. Because of receding ice, there
are more resources that people are
eyeing to compete over, and there's a
number of countries that are looking at
uh exploiting them. This is why the Cola
Bay sits at the heart of Russia's fight
for the Arctic.
I went there in 2021. It's a beautiful
area, kind of rolling hills leading into
the Cola Bay, but more than that, it's a
very closed area. There's a lot of
military installations, a lot of places
that you can't go.
The Arctic is a sort of microcosm of
geopolitical tensions.
It's not as remote as it appears on the
map. The assumption is that the
potential for a conflict in the Arctic
is likely to happen first outside the
region and spill over to the region
rather than we will see a clash of
different countries in in the Arctic.
Russia's Arctic coastline stretches
nearly 15,000 m along the Arctic Ocean.
The Cola Bay sits in the northwest,
giving it strategic access to the Arctic
and North Atlantic oceans and
neighboring NATO countries. We've seen
this slow incremental militarization of
the Arctic. Russia wants to get to a
point where if it feels threatened in
its high north, it can react militarily.
Obviously, that creates a whole bunch of
new scenarios both for Moscow and for
the NATO neighbors that are right next
door.
The Northern Fleet is Russia's Arctic
Navy division, including some of the
most powerful weapons in its nuclear
triad.
One of the biggest arms of that nuclear
triad sits right in the Cola Bay. Russia
stores some of its nuclearpowered
submarines here, which can be used to
patrol icy waters and carry nuclear
missiles.
The northern fleet is basically
comprised of a lot of strategic
submarines that carry nuclear missiles.
This is basically their second strike
capacity.
That's essentially Russia's ability to
strike back if it was hit first by a
land-based nuclear attack. Because its
submarines are powered by nuclear
energy, they can carry out missions for
months at a time. If you're looking at a
Russian nuclearpowered sub, it could
probably stay out at sea indefinitely.
And the Arctic ice actually plays a key
role in Russia's nuclear deterrent
strategy since its submarines can hide
under the ice before attacking.
A lot of Russia's military thinking in
this area comes down to what is called a
bastion concept. So creating a fortress
right above the Cola Bay. And it uses
air defense, it uses various types of
submarines, it uses jet fighters as
well. And so what they're doing is
really kind of building out this very
integrated system of defenses to make
sure that their nuclear capable
submarines really stay protected.
Core to that strategy are Russia's ultra
powerful nuclear icebreaker ships, many
of which are stored here, giving them
easy access to the Arctic Ocean.
What they can do is with those ice
breakers practically travel almost
anywhere they want to. They can be
deployed at different times of the year,
breaking different grades of ice,
thickness of ice, and types of ice. For
comparison, Russia has around 40 ice
breakers at its disposal, while the US
has just three. Some icebreaker ships
are used by researchers to explore the
minerals beneath the melting sea ice,
and others are fitted out with weaponry
like cannons, guns, and missiles.
In the past, Ukraine was very important
in providing various parts for Russia's
ice breakers. Since the war started,
that no longer happens. In fact, one of
the plants that was building a motor for
a Russian icebreaker came under attack
by the Russians. So that kind of ended
those plans very quickly.
These ice breakers also need to sail in
front of any cargo ships passing through
the northern sea route. This trade route
between Asia and Europe is shorter than
going through the Suez Canal and it's
been opening up more in recent years
thanks to melting sea ice. When we look
at the Arctic and the infrastructure
there, it's very scarce. We have to
think dual use. One of the Russian major
objectives is to develop the northern
zero as this international maritime link
between you Asia, Europe and and
Northern America. But this will also
have military strategic importance.
Russia's port of Mormons is the largest
commercial port along the route and it's
one of the only deep water ports in the
Arctic that doesn't freeze over for
parts of the year. You need a deep sea
water port to really handle some of
these very big loads, especially when
we're talking about the kind of
resources that Russia wants to export.
While the US and EU have sanctioned
Russian coal, oil, and gas, Russia
recently opened a new port to serve a
different trading partner, its Asian
export markets.
They can take their coal from inside
Russia up to the shores of the Cola Bay
and then basically send them eastward to
China.
China wants to become more of an Arctic
player. So Russia is balancing keeping
its trading partner happy while not
allowing it too much control which
is really interesting. There has been
this cooperation growing between Russia
and China in the Arctic. Russia was
willing to put the Arctic card on the
table. For instance, when Ciin Ping was
visiting Moscow and say that they are
open to joint management of the northern
Syria, this is a big change.
So what does this all mean for the rest
of the world? Depends on who you ask. If
we're looking at NATO countries, I think
we're looking at a bunch of different
visions of how it should play out. I
think, you know, the United States has
expressed grand ambitions to buy
Greenland, for example.
Other NATO countries who have relied on
US military support are building up
their own military capabilities.
The Cola Bay, I think, really represents
Russia's ability to defend its Arctic
interests. It has all of the weapons
systems and capabilities that it needs
to make sure that it can control parts
of the Arctic that it considers to be
most important for itself.
On the trade front, Canada has said it
wants to build infrastructure along its
own Arctic trade route, the Northwest
Passage, but it's still years away from
becoming a reality. I was talking to the
CEO of a very large American arms
company the other day and he was saying
that the Arctic is always a place of
great potential, but it really depends
on whether or not the US follows through
on its plans or allows Russia to
continue to take the lead.
As the race for the Arctic heats up,
what's happening here in the Cola Bay is
setting the pace.
[Music]
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